Mathletic Sports +

By: Logan Griffiths

Good Morning sports bettors! Today we are switching platforms and choosing to do player props for the day, using Prize Picks. This is a heavier data oriented pick, which leads to higher probability of this hitting.

Pick 1: David Montgomery o 0.5 Rush + Receiving Touchdown

This is a gimme pick with Montgomery hitting this line 9/10 of his last games, it is a green goblin for a reason. With this pick there is no reason to over compute it when it comes to a free lock.

Pick 2: Amon-Ra St. Brown o 0.5 Rushing + Receiving Touchdown

This pick is going to be strictly based of pacing of the game, the Seahawks and Lions are among the upper echelon of off offenses when it comes to driving down field with a pace. My projection using R-code is that the 22 potential drives (11 per team based off average); with that being said I have a strong case of believing that with the high amount of potential scoring drives it is enough to believe that the number one receiver on the Detroit Lions will end up in the endzone at least once tonight.

Pick 3: Nick Folk o 1.5 Field Goals

This one, much like the Amon-Ra St. Brown pick is a red goblin as well. I have probable cause to believe this line will be crushed with Folk hitting 2+ field goals in tonight’s game. I come to say this because the best offense is a good defense, since Tua Tagovailoa is out for the Dolphins I have reasonable suspicion that the Tennessee Titans will be receiving amazing field position during this game; with that being said the lack luster red zone offense for the Titans will result in numerous field goals. Additionally people forget that Nick Folk has a boot of a leg and can hit 50+ yard field goals still.

Pick 4: D.K. Metcalf o 69.5 Receiving Yards

September is D.K. Metcalf’s month averaging 73.5 yards for his career in the month. This matchup is one that I deem worth of even projecting he can have 100+ yard receiving game, I say this because Lions defense is have been notorious for allowing the number one receivers pop off against their defense resulting in two 100 yard games already this season.

I am fairly confident in these picks you can mismatch or string it together as a parlay, I would go no over 2 units on whatever bet you choose to go with. (Remember you can’t bet if you blow through your money, utilize bankroll management)