Mathletic Sports +

By: Logan Griffiths

Good Morning sports bettors! Today we are switching platforms and choosing to do player props for the day, using Prize Picks. This is a heavier data oriented pick, which leads to higher probability of this hitting.

Jabari Walker U 10.5 Points (-130)

Jabari Walker has a matchup against the Orlando Magic who allow the second least points to PF’s and second least overall. On top of this he has only hit this line in 30% of his last 20 matchups, which increases the likelihood of this hitting.  

Trey Murphy III Over 5.5 Rebound  

The Pelicans are still without Ingram, which means that Trey Murphy’s has more minutes (30 MPG – 7.3 RPG). On top of this in the last five games he has found himself averaging 8.4 RPG on 12 rebound chances. He has an 86% hit rate without ingram. Diving deeper into the matchup Phoenix is an even matchup for wing rebound, however Trey did miss this line early this season in much fewer minutes (Ingram was playing). With all this data in factor, I would gauge to say this has a 90% chance of hitting this line. 

Jaylen Brown Over 2.5 Assist 

Jaylen Brown takes on the Charlotte Hornets tonight, which allow the 5^th most assist to SF in the last 15-days. On top of this he has hit the over in the 8 out of the last 10 games on the road (averaging 6.9 potential assists).  

Jaren Jackson Jr. Over 8.5 Assist + Rebounds 

Jaren Jackson has hit this line 90% of his last 10 games. Over the last 10 road games, Jaren Jackson Jr. Has seen 9.2 rebound chances and 5.2 potential assists per game. With probable reasoning we can expect that these number will increase against Detroit which has the WORST offensive rating at home + the 5^th highest pace of play at home over the last 10 games (This will lead to more rebounding opportunities). With all of this into consideration I like our odds.  

With everything being said I love the odds for all of these, for the most likelihood for profit I would pair them two and two. What I will be doing is pairing the Jaren Jackson Jr R+A / Trey Murphy R, and Jabari Walker Points/ Jaylen Brown Assist.